By Elias Mhegera in Dar es Salaam – Tanzania
It has been a week of playing with numbers through statistics that all seems to be coming from one camp, the ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), while the opposition has been put on guard, and disputing all the three researches so far.
The first research was conducted by a team of CCM’s ‘internal experts’ who gave their candidate Dr John Magufuli a lead of 69 per cent over the opposition. This is to imply that the main threat to the CCM from the alliance of four parties under the auspice of UKAWA, will have to share the rest of the percentage and therefore obtain less than 30 per cent.
The second one is by an NGO, TWAWEZA which simply means “we can do it”, which again gave the CCM’s candidate a lead of 65 per cent against the opposition’s main contender, Edward Lowassa, at 25 per cent, with the rest of the opposition being given the remaining 10 per cent. And yet another research by the IPSOS-Synovate gives Dr Magufuli a lead of 62 against 31 of Mr Lowassa, while the rest in the opposition are given to the ACT and the undecided.
The general multitudes that have been created by these surveys have as well created confusion. While supporters of CCM can now breathe a sigh of relief, members of the opposition and professional researches have condemned the two first researches saying that they are mere fabrications and that they have been engineered by the state in order to further ends of the ruling machinery.